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The Sound Investor Series #3
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Asset Allocation - What Is It and How to Do It!
Ed Hynes, CFA
June 8, 2005
One of the most important aspects of investing is determining your
portfolio's performance. This article will help you understand some
of the basics.
Asset allocation in its simplest form is the process of putting
your money into different types of investments such as stocks, bonds,
real estate and cash. (Cash means money in the bank or money market,
not under your mattress.) Real estate is a major asset class and
very important to many individuals, but since most of us buy it
to put a roof over our heads, not as part of our regular financial
planning, we will cover it separately at a later date.
Investors who divide their money between these investment groups
in a thoughtful fashion will probably have higher returns and lower
risk. But since no one knows the future and everyone's circumstances
are different, there is no one right way. I will discuss one method
for dividing your assets but be aware that asset allocation is part
science and part art. Getting in the right ballpark is much more
important than looking for exactly the right number.
In a previous column, we reviewed that stocks are riskier than
cash or bonds, but in the long-term have better returns. With that
in mind, investors should keep as much of their long-term investments
in stocks as they can. What is considered long-term? A good rule
of thumb is 10 years.
I find it useful to think of cash as emergency money, bonds as
insurance and stocks as retirement money. Since we want to keep
as much of our long-term investments as possible in stocks, let's
begin by deciding how much to keep in cash and bonds.
First, fill the cash bucket for emergencies. The amount will depend
on numerous factors including your health and job stability, but
most professionals recommend between 3 and 9 months of expenses.
Remember, your "cash" investments are very low risk and
consequently, very low return so hold only enough to protect you
in an emergency.
Second, fill the bond bucket. Here my method differs from traditional
advice which suggests investors use their age to determine their
bond allocation. A 30 year old investor would put 30% of their savings,
after the cash portion, into bonds and the rest, 70% into stocks.
Their asset allocation would be 70/30 (the standard convention is
stock % followed by bond %). At 65, the asset allocation would be
35% stocks and 65% bonds. But we are living longer (thankfully)
and the rule needs to be adjusted so that we hold more stocks for
a longer period of time.
Rather than using your age, I suggest putting money you expect
to spend in the next ten years into the bond bucket. If you are
young, you probably will not need much of your saving for 10 years,
but I would still put 10% into the bond bucket, just to be safe.
This would result in an asset allocation of 90% stocks and 10% bonds.
As you get into your 50s you may want to move more money into bonds,
but probably not more than 20-30%.
At 65, if you are in good health an asset allocation of 50/50 may
make sense. This is aggressive based on traditional rules, but people
are living into their 90s. 65 year-olds need to have investment
horizons of 25 or 30 years.
Investing in stocks and bonds; and holding some cash, diversifies
your portfolio. This diversification lowers your risk because your
investments are spread out and are exposed to different risks. Remember
the advice not to keep all your "nest-eggs" in one basket.
Ed Hynes, CFA, is President of Farm Creek based
in Rowayton, CT. (203) 838-1025. This article is the fifth in a
series on basic investment topics available at farmcreeksecurities.com.
Before putting money in any investment, you should carefully consider
your investment objectives; and the risks, charges and expenses
of any investment. Past performance is not an indication of future
performance and there are risks to investing including the loss
of principal.
© Copyright 2005
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